Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.214985 0.250114 0.289244 0.336079 0.390642 0.452241 0.527120
2025-02-23 0.156883 0.202507 0.258875 0.333728 0.430682 0.552260 0.716689
2025-03-02 0.123298 0.170870 0.233966 0.323945 0.449315 0.618345 0.864495
2025-03-09 0.106709 0.156708 0.226974 0.333210 0.490364 0.715255 1.063344
2025-03-16 0.092247 0.142401 0.216491 0.334304 0.517847 0.794415 1.245761
2025-03-23 0.082235 0.132732 0.210729 0.340488 0.552251 0.886479 1.458543
2025-03-30 0.071535 0.120210 0.198486 0.334152 0.565083 0.945240 1.624756
2025-04-06 0.063373 0.110536 0.189262 0.330984 0.581842 1.011267 1.810450
2025-04-13 0.057215 0.103334 0.183053 0.331760 0.604814 1.089725 2.027095
2025-04-20 0.054107 0.101020 0.184854 0.346635 0.654292 1.220185 2.354617
2025-04-27 0.050917 0.098094 0.185094 0.358470 0.699311 1.347486 2.692556
2025-05-04 0.047796 0.094868 0.184309 0.368090 0.741004 1.473075 3.043221
2025-05-11 0.044135 0.090240 0.180488 0.371672 0.772048 1.583372 3.381878
2025-05-18 0.040214 0.084614 0.174065 0.369241 0.790679 1.671386 3.687308
2025-05-25 0.035954 0.077739 0.164253 0.358396 0.789988 1.718740 3.910623
2025-06-01 0.034099 0.075736 0.164306 0.368663 0.836250 1.872124 4.392117
2025-06-08 0.031660 0.072144 0.160509 0.369876 0.862309 1.983960 4.793057
2025-06-15 0.029902 0.069859 0.159289 0.376730 0.902076 2.131590 5.299474
2025-06-22 0.027315 0.065343 0.152506 0.369707 0.908059 2.200950 5.623463
2025-06-29 0.025227 0.061759 0.147458 0.366197 0.922071 2.291165 6.012658
2025-07-06 0.023611 0.059124 0.144349 0.367057 0.947052 2.411393 6.496748
2025-07-13 0.023035 0.058999 0.147298 0.383543 1.014096 2.646165 7.320105
2025-07-20 0.022287 0.058350 0.148869 0.396660 1.074010 2.870111 8.146406